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Probability worksheet for students to determine the likelihood of various events, using terms like certain, likely, possible, unlikely, and impossible.

A worksheet titled "Are You Certain?" that teaches probability concepts, featuring six scenarios with illustrations and spaces to write whether each event is certain, likely, possible, unlikely, or impossible. The scenarios include planting seeds, winning the lottery, Earth's rotation, wearing a skirt, and snowfall, with a final prompt to write an example of a certain probability.

A worksheet titled "Are You Certain?" that teaches probability concepts, featuring six scenarios with illustrations and spaces to write whether each event is certain, likely, possible, unlikely, or impossible. The scenarios include planting seeds, winning the lottery, Earth's rotation, wearing a skirt, and snowfall, with a final prompt to write an example of a certain probability.

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Show Answer Key & Explanations Step-by-step solution for: Are You Certain? Probability Worksheet
Here’s the solution to the worksheet “Are You Certain?” with explanations for each answer:

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1. The seeds I planted yesterday were full grown flowers today!

Answer: Impossible

🔹 *Explanation:* Seeds take days, weeks, or even months to grow into full-grown flowers. It is biologically impossible for a seed to become a mature flower overnight. So this event can never happen — it’s impossible.

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2. Today, I will win $100,000 in the lottery.

Answer: Unlikely

🔹 *Explanation:* Winning the lottery is possible — people do win — but the odds are extremely low. Since it’s not certain and not impossible, but very rare, the best term is unlikely.

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3. The Earth will turn and the sun will heat the Earth tomorrow morning.

Answer: Certain

🔹 *Explanation:* The Earth rotates on its axis every 24 hours, causing day and night. The sun heats the Earth daily as part of the natural cycle. This happens without fail — it’s a scientific certainty. So, certain.

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4. Tomorrow, I will be in school sitting at my desk.

Answer: Likely

🔹 *Explanation:* If you’re a student who normally goes to school, this is very probable — especially if tomorrow is a school day. But there’s a small chance of being sick, on vacation, or having a holiday. So it’s likely, not certain.

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5. I will wear a skirt tomorrow.

Answer: Possible

🔹 *Explanation:* Whether you wear a skirt depends on your choice, weather, occasion, etc. It might happen, but it’s not guaranteed. There’s no strong reason to say it’s likely or unlikely — just that it could happen. So, possible.

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6. It is going to snow today.

Answer: Possible *(or Unlikely — depending on location/season)*

🔹 *Explanation:* Snow is possible in many places, especially in winter. But if you live in a tropical area or it’s summer, it would be unlikely. Since the worksheet doesn’t specify location or season, and shows a snowy tree (suggesting it’s plausible), possible is the safest general answer. If context suggests it’s winter or cold, you could argue likely — but without more info, possible is most accurate.

> 💡 *Note: In many classrooms, teachers accept “Possible” here unless students are told to consider local weather.*

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Write an example of a certain probability.

Example Answer: The sun will rise tomorrow.

🔹 *Explanation:* Just like the Earth turning, the sun rising is a predictable, natural event based on Earth’s rotation. It happens every day without exception — making it a certain probability.

> Other good examples:
> - The moon will be visible tonight (sometimes true, but not always — so not perfect).
> - A day has 24 hours.
> - Water boils at 100°C at sea level.

But “The sun will rise tomorrow” is the most universally accepted example of certainty.

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Final Answers Summary:

1. Impossible
2. Unlikely
3. Certain
4. Likely
5. Possible
6. Possible
7. Example: *The sun will rise tomorrow.*

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Let me know if you’d like to adjust any answers based on specific context (like your local weather or school schedule)!
Parent Tip: Review the logic above to help your child master the concept of probability worksheet middle school.
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