Let’s solve this step by step.
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Problem 1: Coin thrown twice
We’re throwing a coin two times. Each throw has two possible outcomes: Head (H) or Tail (T), each with probability ½.
The tree diagram starts like this:
- First throw:
- H (probability ½)
- Second throw: H → Outcome: H, H → Probability: ½ × ½ = ¼
- Second throw: T → Outcome: H, T → Probability: ½ × ½ = ¼
- T (probability ½)
- Second throw: H → Outcome: T, H → Probability: ½ × ½ = ¼
- Second throw: T → Outcome: T, T → Probability: ½ × ½ = ¼
So we fill in the blanks:
- After H then T → Outcome:
H, T, Probability:
¼
- After T then H → Outcome:
T, H, Probability:
¼
- After T then T → Outcome:
T, T, Probability:
¼
Now use the tree to find:
a. P(two tails) → That’s only one outcome: T, T → Probability =
¼
b. P(one tail and one head) → This can happen in two ways: H,T or T,H → So add their probabilities: ¼ + ¼ =
½
c. P(no tails) → That means both are heads: H,H → Probability =
¼
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Problem 2: Lilly throws a dice twice, trying for sixes
A standard die has 6 sides: numbers 1 to 6.
Probability of rolling a six = 1/6
Probability of NOT rolling a six = 5/6
Tree diagram:
First throw:
- Six (prob 1/6)
- Second throw: Six → Outcome: Six, Six → Prob: 1/6 × 1/6 = 1/36
- Second throw: Not Six → Outcome: Six, Not Six → Prob: 1/6 × 5/6 = 5/36
- Not Six (prob 5/6)
- Second throw: Six → Outcome: Not Six, Six → Prob: 5/6 × 1/6 = 5/36
- Second throw: Not Six → Outcome: Not Six, Not Six → Prob: 5/6 × 5/6 = 25/36
Fill in the table:
Top row (Six → Six): Outcome =
Six, Six, Probability =
1/36
Next (Six → Not Six): Outcome =
Six, Not Six, Probability =
5/36
Next (Not Six → Six): Outcome =
Not Six, Six, Probability =
5/36
Bottom (Not Six → Not Six): Outcome =
Not Six, Not Six, Probability =
25/36
Now find:
a. Two sixes → Only “Six, Six” → Probability =
1/36
b. One six → This happens in two cases: “Six, Not Six” OR “Not Six, Six” → Add them: 5/36 + 5/36 =
10/36 → Simplify:
5/18
c. At least one six → That means: either one six OR two sixes → So add:
“Six, Six” + “Six, Not Six” + “Not Six, Six” = 1/36 + 5/36 + 5/36 =
11/36
(Alternatively: 1 – P(no sixes) = 1 – 25/36 = 11/36 — same answer!)
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Final Answer:
Problem 1:
a. P(two tails) = 1/4
b. P(one tail and one head) = 1/2
c. P(no tails) = 1/4
Problem 2:
a. Two sixes = 1/36
b. One six = 5/18
c. At least one six = 11/36
Parent Tip: Review the logic above to help your child master the concept of probability area models worksheet.