Probability worksheet with problems on experimental and theoretical probability involving card selection and eye color distribution.
A math worksheet titled "Probability Worksheet 4: Experimental and Theoretical Probability" featuring exercises on probability using a standard deck of cards and eye color survey data.
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Step-by-step solution for: Probability Worksheet 4
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Show Answer Key & Explanations
Step-by-step solution for: Probability Worksheet 4
Let’s go step by step through each question. We’ll use the data from Amanda’s card experiment and Dale’s eye color survey to find probabilities.
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Amanda’s Card Experiment:
She drew cards 30 times total (7 Diamonds + 9 Hearts + 11 Spades + 3 Clubs = 30).
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Question 1: Experimental probability of selecting a heart?
Experimental probability = (number of times heart was picked) ÷ (total number of trials)
→ 9 hearts out of 30 draws → 9/30
We can simplify that: divide numerator and denominator by 3 → 3/10
✔ Answer: 3/10
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Question 2: Theoretical probability of selecting a heart?
In a standard deck, there are 52 cards, and 13 of them are hearts.
So theoretical probability = 13/52
Simplify: divide top and bottom by 13 → 1/4
✔ Answer: 1/4
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Question 3: Experimental probability of diamond OR spade?
Diamonds: 7
Spades: 11
Total for either: 7 + 11 = 18
Total trials: 30
→ 18/30
Simplify: divide by 6 → 3/5
✔ Answer: 3/5
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Question 4: Theoretical probability of diamond OR spade?
Diamonds: 13 cards
Spades: 13 cards
Total favorable: 13 + 13 = 26
Total cards: 52
→ 26/52 = 1/2
✔ Answer: 1/2
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Question 5: Compare results and describe findings.
Experimental vs Theoretical:
- Heart: Exp = 3/10 (0.3), Theo = 1/4 (0.25) → close but not same
- Diamond or Spade: Exp = 3/5 (0.6), Theo = 1/2 (0.5) → also close
They’re not exactly the same — which is normal in experiments because you’re only doing 30 tries. But they’re within about 10% of each other, so it’s reasonable.
✔ Answer: The experimental and theoretical probabilities are not the same, but they are close — within about 10% of each other. This makes sense because with more trials, experimental probability usually gets closer to theoretical.
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Dale’s Eye Color Survey:
Total students surveyed: 12 (Blue) + 58 (Brown) + 2 (Green) + 8 (Hazel) = 80
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Question 6a: Experimental probability distribution for each eye color
P(blue) = 12/80 → simplify: divide by 4 → 3/20
P(brown) = 58/80 → divide by 2 → 29/40
P(green) = 2/80 → divide by 2 → 1/40
P(hazel) = 8/80 → divide by 8 → 1/10
✔ Answers:
- P(blue) = 3/20
- P(brown) = 29/40
- P(green) = 1/40
- P(hazel) = 1/10
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Question 6b: Probability student has blue OR green eyes?
Add P(blue) + P(green) = 12/80 + 2/80 = 14/80
Simplify: divide by 2 → 7/40
✔ Answer: 7/40
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Question 6c: Probability student does NOT have brown OR hazel eyes?
That means they have BLUE or GREEN.
Same as above! Because “not brown or hazel” = blue or green.
So again: 12 + 2 = 14 → 14/80 = 7/40
Wait — let me double-check.
“Not have brown or hazel” → exclude brown (58) and hazel (8) → left with blue (12) + green (2) = 14 → yes, 14/80 = 7/40
But wait — the handwritten answer says 7/8? That must be wrong.
Hold on — maybe I misread.
Original question: “does not have brown or hazel eyes?”
Yes — so we want students who have NEITHER brown NOR hazel → so only blue or green → 12 + 2 = 14 → 14/80 = 7/40.
But the handwritten note says: 80 - 10 = 70 → 70/80 = 7/8.
Ah — that’s if they meant “does not have brown AND does not have hazel” — but that’s the same thing.
Wait — no. If you subtract brown AND hazel, you get 58 + 8 = 66 → 80 - 66 = 14 → still 14/80.
Unless... did they mean “does not have (brown or hazel)” — which is correct — 14/80.
But 70/80 would be if they subtracted only 10 — which doesn’t make sense.
Wait — looking back at the image: the handwritten part says “80 - 10 = 70” — where does 10 come from?
Maybe they added blue and green? 12 + 2 = 14 — not 10.
This seems like an error in the handwritten work.
Actually — perhaps they meant “does not have brown” — then it would be 80 - 58 = 22 → 22/80 = 11/40.
Or “does not have hazel” — 80 - 8 = 72 → 72/80 = 9/10.
But the question says: “does not have brown or hazel eyes”
In math, “or” in this context usually means union — so excluding both.
So correct answer should be 14/80 = 7/40.
But let’s check the original problem again.
Looking at the image: Question 6c says:
> c. Based on the survey, what is the experimental probability that a student in Dale’s class does not have brown or hazel eyes?
And the handwritten answer says: 80 - 10 = 70 → 70/80 = 7/8.
Where does 10 come from? Maybe they thought “brown or hazel” is 58 + 8 = 66, but wrote 10 by mistake? Or maybe they meant something else.
Wait — another interpretation: sometimes people say “does not have brown or hazel” meaning “has neither”, which is correct — 14/80.
But 7/8 is 70/80 — which would be if only 10 students had brown or hazel — but that’s not true.
I think the handwritten answer is incorrect.
Let me recalculate:
Total students: 80
Students with brown OR hazel: 58 + 8 = 66
Students without brown OR hazel: 80 - 66 = 14
Probability: 14/80 = 7/40
✔ Correct Answer: 7/40
*(Note: The handwritten answer of 7/8 appears to be a calculation error.)*
---
Question 6d: If distribution is similar, how many of 360 students expected to have brown eyes?
From survey: P(brown) = 58/80
Apply to 360 students: (58/80) × 360
First, simplify 58/80 = 29/40
Now: (29/40) × 360
= 29 × (360 ÷ 40) = 29 × 9 = 261
✔ Answer: 261 students
---
Final Answers Summary:
1. 3/10
2. 1/4
3. 3/5
4. 1/2
5. The experimental and theoretical probabilities are not the same, but they are close — within about 10% of each other. This makes sense because with more trials, experimental probability usually gets closer to theoretical.
6a. P(blue)=3/20, P(brown)=29/40, P(green)=1/40, P(hazel)=1/10
6b. 7/40
6c. 7/40 *(corrected from handwritten 7/8)*
6d. 261 students
──────────────────────────────────────
Final Answer:
1. \(\frac{3}{10}\)
2. \(\frac{1}{4}\)
3. \(\frac{3}{5}\)
4. \(\frac{1}{2}\)
5. The experimental and theoretical probabilities are not the same, but they are close — within about 10% of each other. This makes sense because with more trials, experimental probability usually gets closer to theoretical.
6a. P(blue) = \(\frac{3}{20}\), P(brown) = \(\frac{29}{40}\), P(green) = \(\frac{1}{40}\), P(hazel) = \(\frac{1}{10}\)
6b. \(\frac{7}{40}\)
6c. \(\frac{7}{40}\)
6d. 261
---
Amanda’s Card Experiment:
She drew cards 30 times total (7 Diamonds + 9 Hearts + 11 Spades + 3 Clubs = 30).
---
Question 1: Experimental probability of selecting a heart?
Experimental probability = (number of times heart was picked) ÷ (total number of trials)
→ 9 hearts out of 30 draws → 9/30
We can simplify that: divide numerator and denominator by 3 → 3/10
✔ Answer: 3/10
---
Question 2: Theoretical probability of selecting a heart?
In a standard deck, there are 52 cards, and 13 of them are hearts.
So theoretical probability = 13/52
Simplify: divide top and bottom by 13 → 1/4
✔ Answer: 1/4
---
Question 3: Experimental probability of diamond OR spade?
Diamonds: 7
Spades: 11
Total for either: 7 + 11 = 18
Total trials: 30
→ 18/30
Simplify: divide by 6 → 3/5
✔ Answer: 3/5
---
Question 4: Theoretical probability of diamond OR spade?
Diamonds: 13 cards
Spades: 13 cards
Total favorable: 13 + 13 = 26
Total cards: 52
→ 26/52 = 1/2
✔ Answer: 1/2
---
Question 5: Compare results and describe findings.
Experimental vs Theoretical:
- Heart: Exp = 3/10 (0.3), Theo = 1/4 (0.25) → close but not same
- Diamond or Spade: Exp = 3/5 (0.6), Theo = 1/2 (0.5) → also close
They’re not exactly the same — which is normal in experiments because you’re only doing 30 tries. But they’re within about 10% of each other, so it’s reasonable.
✔ Answer: The experimental and theoretical probabilities are not the same, but they are close — within about 10% of each other. This makes sense because with more trials, experimental probability usually gets closer to theoretical.
---
Dale’s Eye Color Survey:
Total students surveyed: 12 (Blue) + 58 (Brown) + 2 (Green) + 8 (Hazel) = 80
---
Question 6a: Experimental probability distribution for each eye color
P(blue) = 12/80 → simplify: divide by 4 → 3/20
P(brown) = 58/80 → divide by 2 → 29/40
P(green) = 2/80 → divide by 2 → 1/40
P(hazel) = 8/80 → divide by 8 → 1/10
✔ Answers:
- P(blue) = 3/20
- P(brown) = 29/40
- P(green) = 1/40
- P(hazel) = 1/10
---
Question 6b: Probability student has blue OR green eyes?
Add P(blue) + P(green) = 12/80 + 2/80 = 14/80
Simplify: divide by 2 → 7/40
✔ Answer: 7/40
---
Question 6c: Probability student does NOT have brown OR hazel eyes?
That means they have BLUE or GREEN.
Same as above! Because “not brown or hazel” = blue or green.
So again: 12 + 2 = 14 → 14/80 = 7/40
Wait — let me double-check.
“Not have brown or hazel” → exclude brown (58) and hazel (8) → left with blue (12) + green (2) = 14 → yes, 14/80 = 7/40
But wait — the handwritten answer says 7/8? That must be wrong.
Hold on — maybe I misread.
Original question: “does not have brown or hazel eyes?”
Yes — so we want students who have NEITHER brown NOR hazel → so only blue or green → 12 + 2 = 14 → 14/80 = 7/40.
But the handwritten note says: 80 - 10 = 70 → 70/80 = 7/8.
Ah — that’s if they meant “does not have brown AND does not have hazel” — but that’s the same thing.
Wait — no. If you subtract brown AND hazel, you get 58 + 8 = 66 → 80 - 66 = 14 → still 14/80.
Unless... did they mean “does not have (brown or hazel)” — which is correct — 14/80.
But 70/80 would be if they subtracted only 10 — which doesn’t make sense.
Wait — looking back at the image: the handwritten part says “80 - 10 = 70” — where does 10 come from?
Maybe they added blue and green? 12 + 2 = 14 — not 10.
This seems like an error in the handwritten work.
Actually — perhaps they meant “does not have brown” — then it would be 80 - 58 = 22 → 22/80 = 11/40.
Or “does not have hazel” — 80 - 8 = 72 → 72/80 = 9/10.
But the question says: “does not have brown or hazel eyes”
In math, “or” in this context usually means union — so excluding both.
So correct answer should be 14/80 = 7/40.
But let’s check the original problem again.
Looking at the image: Question 6c says:
> c. Based on the survey, what is the experimental probability that a student in Dale’s class does not have brown or hazel eyes?
And the handwritten answer says: 80 - 10 = 70 → 70/80 = 7/8.
Where does 10 come from? Maybe they thought “brown or hazel” is 58 + 8 = 66, but wrote 10 by mistake? Or maybe they meant something else.
Wait — another interpretation: sometimes people say “does not have brown or hazel” meaning “has neither”, which is correct — 14/80.
But 7/8 is 70/80 — which would be if only 10 students had brown or hazel — but that’s not true.
I think the handwritten answer is incorrect.
Let me recalculate:
Total students: 80
Students with brown OR hazel: 58 + 8 = 66
Students without brown OR hazel: 80 - 66 = 14
Probability: 14/80 = 7/40
✔ Correct Answer: 7/40
*(Note: The handwritten answer of 7/8 appears to be a calculation error.)*
---
Question 6d: If distribution is similar, how many of 360 students expected to have brown eyes?
From survey: P(brown) = 58/80
Apply to 360 students: (58/80) × 360
First, simplify 58/80 = 29/40
Now: (29/40) × 360
= 29 × (360 ÷ 40) = 29 × 9 = 261
✔ Answer: 261 students
---
Final Answers Summary:
1. 3/10
2. 1/4
3. 3/5
4. 1/2
5. The experimental and theoretical probabilities are not the same, but they are close — within about 10% of each other. This makes sense because with more trials, experimental probability usually gets closer to theoretical.
6a. P(blue)=3/20, P(brown)=29/40, P(green)=1/40, P(hazel)=1/10
6b. 7/40
6c. 7/40 *(corrected from handwritten 7/8)*
6d. 261 students
──────────────────────────────────────
Final Answer:
1. \(\frac{3}{10}\)
2. \(\frac{1}{4}\)
3. \(\frac{3}{5}\)
4. \(\frac{1}{2}\)
5. The experimental and theoretical probabilities are not the same, but they are close — within about 10% of each other. This makes sense because with more trials, experimental probability usually gets closer to theoretical.
6a. P(blue) = \(\frac{3}{20}\), P(brown) = \(\frac{29}{40}\), P(green) = \(\frac{1}{40}\), P(hazel) = \(\frac{1}{10}\)
6b. \(\frac{7}{40}\)
6c. \(\frac{7}{40}\)
6d. 261
Parent Tip: Review the logic above to help your child master the concept of theoretical vs experimental probability worksheet.